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Below are examples of input estimates and analysis results in the Sugarflows service.
Raw Sugar Trade/Price Forecast March 2011
This is an example of an output report from the service that estimates quantities, fob prices, c and f prices and tariffs for Raw Sugar in Bulk in March 2011.

Algeria Sugar Supply/Demand Profile 20010/11
This page shows the configuration of Algeria as a country within a model set up. Supply/demand quantities and preferences are shown along with costs of trade, storage and type conversion.

World Sugar Supply/Demand Profile 2009/10-2013

A summary of global production/consumption estimates, based primarily in ISO data, kindly supplied by Sugaronline.


The model outputs market clearing prices and quantities based on LOCATION MARGINAL PRICING logic summarised below:

The basic elements of the cost structure are:
  1. production cost or current market
      price
  2.refining or transformation costs
      (containerization)
  3. storage
  4. transport
  5. tariffs (fixed or ad-valorem)
End-point price elasticity of demand is simply input with a quantity of tonnage sought at configurable price levels.

Preferences for different types are input as USD per metric tonne differentials.

 
Preferences for sugar substitutes are configurable, as are alternative uses for sugarcane (ethanol).

Real-world Monopolistic activities (market power) are modelled by adding and removing controls, costs and tonnage limits on production, storage and transport.

See the results of this fast, simple process in a live trial.
 
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